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    Yield curve

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    • Thursday, 9 February, 2023
      Global Economy
      How steep is your curve?

      We're living in a world of fools, breaking us down, when they all should let R* be higher by 150-200bp

    • Thursday, 8 December, 2022
      Bond market points to Fed standing firm in battle against inflation

      US yield curve is at its most inverted since 1981 in sign investors see recession on horizon

    • Monday, 25 July, 2022
      Chinese economy
      Inverted yield curve in China savings rates signals sustained economic slowdown

      Lack of lending opportunities points to prolonged weakness in growth, warn bank officials

    • Sunday, 10 April, 2022
      US equities
      Inverted US yield curve is not always gloomy for stocks

      Recession worries build but equities seen as having staying power

    • Wednesday, 6 April, 2022
      US Treasury bonds
      An inverted yield curve: why investors are watching closely
    • Tuesday, 29 March, 2022
      Equities
      Global shares rally as traders focus on Russia-Ukraine peace talks

      Euro jumps after Moscow says it will scale back military activities near Kyiv

    • Tuesday, 29 March, 2022
      US yield curve inverts in possible recession signal

      Two-year Treasury yields rise above those of the 10-year for first time since August 2019

    • Monday, 28 March, 2022
      LexUS Treasury bonds
      US bonds: don’t fret about inversion yet Premium content

      Quantitative easing has left the long end of the yield curve artificially low

    • Tuesday, 22 March, 2022
      UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
      The yield curve might be wrong Premium content

      And we better hope so

    • Monday, 14 February, 2022
      Bond market signals concern Fed’s bid to cool inflation will backfire

      Powerful sell-off in short-term Treasuries has caused an ominous ‘flattening’ of the yield curve

    • Wednesday, 29 December, 2021
      US Treasury bonds
      Hedge funds bet against market pessimism on US economic outlook

      Some players anticipate steepening yield curve despite it being a trade that inflicted pain this year

    • Tuesday, 2 November, 2021
      UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
      The politics of the yield curve Premium content

      And bubbles are very bad

    • Wednesday, 2 December, 2020
      US Treasury bonds
      US bond yields rise as inflation expectations tick up

      Benchmark S&P 500 equities index edges up 0.2% to new record high

    • Saturday, 17 October, 2020
      FTfm
      Fund managers overhaul portfolios on ‘blue wave’ bet

      Investors are dumping tech stocks for housebuilders and regional banks in anticipation of a Biden victory

    • Tuesday, 6 October, 2020
      US yield curve steepens on possibility of ‘blue wave’ election

      Gap between five- and 30-year Treasury yields at its widest since 2016

    • Thursday, 27 August, 2020
      Yield curve steepens after Fed policy shift

      Sell-off in long-dated Treasuries follows pledge to let US inflation run above 2%

    • Wednesday, 3 June, 2020
      US Treasury bonds
      US yield curve steepens as 30-year Treasury falls from favour

      Traders eye Fed policy shift, ballooning government spending and stabilising economy

    • Tuesday, 25 February, 2020
      US banks
      Investors dump bank stocks as profit squeeze worsens

      Tumbling bond yields threaten to further crimp net interest margins

    • Monday, 24 February, 2020
      US Treasury bonds
      US 10-year Treasury yield nears record low

      Deepening yield curve inversion sparks talk of early Fed rate cut

    • Thursday, 30 January, 2020
      US yield curve inversion raises growth concerns

      Coronavirus sparks bond market rally and triggers recession signal

    • Wednesday, 29 January, 2020
      Federal Reserve
      Federal Reserve stands firm on interest rates

      Central bank statement notes household spending is ‘moderate’ rather than ‘strong’

    • Monday, 30 December, 2019
      US yield curve signals optimism for 2020

      Indicator that once warned of recession now at its steepest in more than a year

    • Thursday, 26 December, 2019
      Katie Martin
      Year in a word: negative yields

      By mid-2019, this once-unthinkable quirk of the bond market had exploded to extremes

    • Tuesday, 26 November, 2019
      ExplainerRepo market
      Repo: How the financial markets' plumbing got blocked

      When short-term borrowing costs spiked in September, it marked the culmination of long-term stresses that the Federal Reserve is now working to tame

    • Thursday, 14 November, 2019
      Unhedged
      Wax on, wax off for bonds and equities Premium content

      Mike Mackenzie’s daily analysis of what’s moving global markets

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