The EU will not bend on the withdrawal deal, even through fear of disruption

For Theresa May’s deal to pass, Brussels must remove the option of stalling Article 50

May elections will determine whether the bloc can stand on its own in a more hostile world

Liberals are often led astray by their addiction to macroeconomic variables such as GDP

The ECB has a record of optimistic forecasts but the economy could tank

The backstop is awful and a purgatory in which the union does not want to end up

‘America First’ hit the EU hard but its response has been weak

It leaves several options open, including the Norway model, that would otherwise shut

There is a striking gap between analysis of investors and that of political commentators

The bloc has good reasons not to extend the March 29 deadline for withdrawal

Departing from the path set by the chancellor could put the CDU back on track

Confrontation over spending is reawakening the dormant eurozone crisis

Other EU countries are also seeing support leaking away from established parties

Political extremism is only one response to failing economic systems

A bad deal is worse than none for both the EU and the UK

Debate over Angela Merkel’s fate distracts from the shift towards extremist parties

EU leaders’ rejection of May’s plans have increased the chance of failure

If there is a hard Brexit, the status of Europeans in the UK will be uncertain

Elections to the European Parliament next year will be a big test of populist strength

Giving the currency a bigger global function means rewiring the EU’s machinery

Enthusiasm for a second referendum is making cliff-edge EU exit more likely

It would do well to concentrate on correcting imbalances in the eurozone

It is not in the EU’s interest to allow a Brexit reversal nor return to negotiations

Boosting resilience means higher defence outlay and cutting the current account surplus