Matt Singh: The Election Analyst

Matt Singh was the only analyst to predict the polls had failed in 2015 and the Conservatives would win more than 300 seats. His non-partisan reports reveal what is really happening in the run-up to June’s election

© FT Montage/Charlie Bibby

Unprecedented underestimate of Labour support confounded expectations

Older voters less reliable, the young turned out, and Remainers get their revenge

Conservatives on course to increase majority despite Labour running a strong campaign

In the past 25 years, the largest party’s total has never been wrong by more than 15 seats

Corbyn is winning over the youth, but they are less likely to vote than their elders

YouGov model shows Theresa May falling short of a majority

More from this Series

Five surveys put Labour-Tory gap at between 6 and 14 points

Theory that campaigns do not matter in outcome of a vote will be tested to the limit

The FT’s election analyst explains why the results can confound predictions

Despite polls narrowing, a strong preference for May as PM suggests Tories will win

Tories are on course to grab seats as manufacturing areas switch from Labour

Conservatives look set to make gains amid shifts in party allegiance in key seats

Recovery in polling for main opposition party did not come at the expense of the Conservatives

Leaving out undecided voters may have exaggerated swing because the pool is smaller

Election analyst Matt Singh translates local election results into Westminster seats