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Data mining has opened a new front in the battle to see the future
Over apple fizz and celeriac soup in London, the sage of ‘superforecasting’ talks about the Brexit curveball and why political pundits get it wrong
If you had described your iPhone in 1976, Friedman would not have understood you
Predictions about what to expect decades from now will tend to fail. But that is no reason to stop making them
Theme of technology edges ahead of workplace and capitalism to dominate this year’s must-read titles
Billions of dollars are spent on experts who claim they can forecast what’s around the corner, in business, finance and economics. Most of them get it wrong. Now a groundbreaking study has unlocked the secret: it IS possible to predict the future – and a new breed of ‘superforecasters’ knows how to do it