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Trade surplus contraction must be balanced by a cut in the gap between domestic savings and investment
Probably not. Here’s why.
The Chinese economy still needs demand-side support, not more supply-side support
Surpluses will continue as Beijing struggles to rein in burgeoning debt and increase domestic consumption
Regulators should be more worried by too much buying of its stocks and bonds than by too little
The idea that GDP can be twice as big in 2035 faces two significant obstacles: demography and politics
Michael Pettis argues imbalances will continue to set China back unless retail sales once again begin to outpace industrial production.
When it comes to the future of the Chinese economy, Beijing has a difficult choice to make.
How global macroeconomic asymmetries reflect homespun economic problems
Both nations are indispensable, so companies face a two-track world
Beijing’s repeated pledges to shrink the state are both empty and impossible
It is wrong to assume that prices reflect a genuine ‘view’ about growth prospects
This would be a dangerous way of trying to fix an unstable banking system
Beijing must reveal the true level of GDP and wasted investment