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Political risk and investment

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  • Friday, 10 June, 2022
    Pound Sterling
    Investors bet against pound over ‘dire’ threat of stagflation

    Traders question how far the Bank of England can raise rates in the face of cost of living crisis

  • Friday, 8 April, 2022
    Corporate bonds
    European credit funds hit by outflows of almost €14bn in first quarter

    Surging inflation stoked by the war in Ukraine has hurt the region’s corporate bonds

  • Tuesday, 5 April, 2022
    French presidential election
    Le Pen’s poll surge rattles French bonds and bank stocks

    Investors price in greater political risk before Sunday’s first round of voting

  • Friday, 11 March, 2022
    Asset allocation
    Big investors to shift billions from bonds into stock markets

    Equity inflows could reach $230bn in the coming weeks as funds rebalance their portfolios, says JPMorgan

  • Tuesday, 22 February, 2022
    Markets InsightKatie Martin
    Ukraine conflict: the risks looming for investors

    Rising energy costs may worsen inflation shock and sap economic growth

  • Thursday, 3 February, 2022
    War in Ukraine
    Hedge funds bet on beaten-down Russia and Ukraine assets

    Nervous institutional investors still steering clear owing to rising political risks

  • Friday, 21 January, 2022
    Pound Sterling
    Pound shrugs off uncertainty over Boris Johnson’s future

    Sterling — often a barometer of political instability — has barely wavered during the prime minister’s crisis

  • Friday, 17 September, 2021
    Turkish economy
    High yields tempt wary investors back into Turkish debt

    Ankara raised $2.3bn in a bond deal this week but many remain sceptical of Erdogan government

  • Monday, 10 May, 2021
    Pound Sterling
    Pound hits highest level since February as election results dim risks

    UK government bonds fall in price as concerns over Scottish independence referendum fade

  • Friday, 12 March, 2021
    Gilts
    Japanese investors buy UK government bonds at record rate in early 2021

    Reduction in risk from Brexit and negative rates have boosted appeal of British debt

  • Monday, 22 February, 2021
    Petrobras
    Brazilian markets rattled by Bolsonaro’s removal of Petrobras chief

    Oil producer’s shares fall and currency slides over fears of more state intervention

  • Thursday, 21 January, 2021
    Markets InsightMohamed El-Erian
    Crises facing Biden threaten to create vicious cycles

    New US president must combine agile political manoeuvring with smart economic policy

  • Saturday, 21 November, 2020
    Inside LondonEva Szalay
    Brexit crunch time? Traders say maybe later

    Currency markets are pricing in a deal but no longer believe in deadlines

  • Thursday, 5 November, 2020
    Markets brace for US election
    US election sucks air out of the reflation trade

    Prospect of divided Congress and more modest economic stimulus has had big effect on markets

  • Friday, 30 October, 2020
    Trump vs Biden: essential reading
    Trump vs Biden: 4 policy plans US stock investors are watching

    Wall Street homes in on taxes, infrastructure spending, tech regulation and energy

  • Tuesday, 20 October, 2020
    Markets brace for US election
    Investors bet US recovery will force long-term bond yields higher

    Money managers wager ‘blue wave’ in US election and good news on Covid could reduce uncertainty

  • Monday, 19 October, 2020
    Pound Sterling
    Pound steady as investors shrug off warning of no EU-UK trade deal

    Lack of sterling sensitivity displays Brexit fatigue

  • Tuesday, 13 October, 2020
    Markets brace for US election
    US investors pivot to ‘blue wave’ as odds favour Biden

    Markets shift towards small-cap companies and value shares over growth stocks

  • Friday, 9 October, 2020
    Investments
    The US election and your investment portfolio

    How will the result and the fallout from the fractious 2020 campaign affect your money?

  • Tuesday, 6 October, 2020
    News in-depth
    Investors find new hedges against a US election sell-off

    Fund managers choose other forms of protection as Treasuries ‘parachute’ stops working

  • Friday, 2 October, 2020
    US equities
    Trump diagnosis adds to market nerves over US election

    Investors were braced for post-vote turbulence but diagnosis raises risks in run-up to polling day

  • Thursday, 1 October, 2020
    Gillian Tett
    Investors grapple with bizarre US election cycle

    There is rising interest in using political prediction and betting markets to track political risk

  • Tuesday, 29 September, 2020
    Inside BusinessJohn Reed
    Investors unnerved by rise of political risk in Thailand

    Businesses face increasingly turbulent outlook due to pandemic, student protests and policy drift

  • Tuesday, 29 September, 2020
    Fears of a disputed US election fuel market volatility bets

    Vix index futures rise further after Trump indicates he might not concede if he loses November vote

  • Friday, 25 September, 2020
    The FT ViewThe editorial board
    Retail investors shun bargain Britain

    The UK market has fallen out of favour amid demand for US growth stocks

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