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China warned that any ruling against the country this week in a UN tribunal over disputed waters in the South China Sea “will increase tension and undermine peace in the region”. The warning came as Chinese warships on Sunday conducted live-fire military drills in the disputed waters, stiffening its territorial claims ahead of the UN decision.

Kurt Campbell, a foreign policy adviser to Hillary Clinton and former Obama administration official, warned that China could “plunge Asia into crisis” by making an aggressive and possibly militarised response to any unfavourable ruling.

Here is everything you need to know about the highly-anticipated UN judgment. (FT, The Australian)

Meanwhile, violence in South Sudan is prompting fears that the world’s newest country could descend into civil war. Soldiers loyal to President Salva Kiir clashed with fighters supporting vice-president Riek Machar killing as many as 300 people, including a UN peacekeeper, over the weekend. Diplomats will meet in Kenya on Monday to discuss the crisis. (Guardian, FT)

In the news

Pokémon proves a game changer Nintendo shares soared as much as 25 per cent this morning, hitting their daily limit amid explosive demand for the company’s Pokémon GO mobile game. The augmented reality game has seized the imaginations of smartphone users worldwide, although it has led to some unsavoury incidents. In Wyoming, a teenager hunting for Pokémon instead discovered a man’s corpse. In Missouri, bandits used the game to lure victims to a remote area and rob them. (FT, Quartz)

Japanese PM closes in on supermajority Shinzo Abe has won a sweeping victory in elections to Japan’s upper house and there is now a parliamentary supermajority that supports revision of Japan’s pacifist constitution. He is also expected to order a new stimulus package to reinvigorate the economy. (FT, NAR)

Gibraltar calls for second Brexit vote The British territory on the southern tip of Spain — the UK’s most pro-EU district with 96 per cent of voters supporting Remain — is calling for a second referendum once a post-Brexit deal is struck with the EU as it focuses on talks with Scotland over ways to remain a member of the European bloc. Sign up here to receive our new daily Brexit Briefing. (FT)

Dallas plot Police in Dallas say Micah Johnson, the gunman who shot dead five police officers in the city last week, was planning a wider attack. The 25-year-old army veteran’s apartment contained bomb-making equipment, ammunition and arms. Police chief David O. Brown said he was “convinced this suspect had other plans”. (NYT)

Cut in big banks’ profit forecasts The downgrade comes amid fears that the US Federal Reserve— spooked by sluggish job growth and the UK vote to leave the EU — will hold off on pushing up interest rates. (FT)

It’s a big day for

UK politics The Labour party’s Angela Eagle is set to challenge Jeremy Corbyn for the leadership of the party. Conservative leadership contender Theresa May launches her campaign with a promise to crack down on corporate vested interests. (FT, The Times)

Food for thought

Italian banks: essential repairs Italy’s banking crisis is inflaming popular anger at the sluggish economic recovery following the country’s three-year recession. The impact threatens not only Prime Minister Matteo Renzi but the wider eurozone. (FT)

Jihadis in Turkey Turkey has clamped down on Islamist extremists after Isis launched a devastating attack on Istanbul airport last month, but Ankara is accused of harbouring other terrorist groups. (WaPo)

A manifesto against ‘parenting’ Caring for children shouldn’t be like carpentry, with a finished product in mind. We should grow our children, like gardeners, argues Alison Gopnik. (WSJ)

How to write the perfect resignation Lucy Kellaway considers the best — and worst — ways to say: “I quit”, a phrase heard a lot in the UK in recent weeks. The efforts of a certain former England football manager get special mention. (FT)

The cult emerging from Japan’s shadows Nippon Kaigi, a small cult with some of the country’s most powerful people, espouses a return to imperial worship and an end of sexual equality and human rights laws. Sunday’s elections in Japan may further its goals. (The Daily Beast)

A very welcome medical mystery Major diseases, such as colon cancer, dementia and heart disease, are waning in wealthy countries, yet improved diagnosis and treatment cannot fully explain it. (NYT)

Video of the day

The week ahead A look at some of the big stories in the coming week, including a UN tribunal ruling on a case between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea, Alcoa kicks off US earnings season, and the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee meets for the first time since the Brexit vote. (FT)

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