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The gathering economic storm

From Argentina to Hong Kong, low rates, political unrest and slowing growth are stoking fears of a global downturn. Can anyone find safe harbour? Here’s the best of this week’s opinion and analysis

© James Ferguson
Recessions have become rarer and more scary

A hard to predict financial crisis is the most probable source of the next downturn

Indian economy needs revolution, not tinkering

Slowing growth calls for bold reforms which have so far been lacking

Argentina: how IMF’s biggest bailout crumbled under Macri

With the Peronists waiting in the wings, the country is struggling to avoid a ninth sovereign default

Central banks are locked in currency wars they cannot win

Lowering interest rates to support economies has created a domino effect

The UK demand picture shows weakness everywhere Premium

All the possible sources of economic growth are precarious

HK unrest/Singapore banks: safe harbour Premium

The numbers support the nation state’s lenders despite rising digital competition