Moody’s cuts outlook on Turkey credit rating to ‘negative’

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Moody’s late on Friday cut its outlook on Turkey’s rating to “negative” as risks to the country’s credit profile have “risen materially” in recent months.

The ratings group noted that the “tense political environment” following the coup attempt last July has “persisted for longer than expected” and that actions taken against various forms of opposition to the government have “undermined the country’s administrative capacity and damaged private sector confidence.”

“Partly as a consequence, Turkey has experienced a further slowdown in growth,” Moody’s added.

Indeed, the economy contracted at a year-on year rate of 1.8 per cent in the third quarter of last year, Bloomberg data show. It is forecast to have picked up to 2.6 per cent in the final three months of last year, but remain below the 4.7 per cent and 3.1 per cent notched in the first and second quarter of 2016, respectively.

Moody’s rates Turkey at Ba1*. It previously had a “stable” outlook on the sovereign.

*This post has been amended to correct Turkey’s rating.

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