Summer has arrived and to prove it two classics will be run this weekend at Newmarket, the HQ of Flat racing, writes The Investor. But pity the poor tipster, the two Guineas are tough races to fathom. Most of the relevant form is from last season as the role of the traditional “trials” has been devalued, so much so that the winner of this season’s Greenham, Red Clubs,is quoted at 25/1.
Thus, judgments are formed on hints and whispers about the wellbeing of horses. It is surely better to stick to the facts. On that basis, Sir Percy is the bet in Saturday’s Stan James 2,000 Guineas Stakes. His win in the Dewhurst last term is the best form in the book.
Favourite George Washington could well emulate his namesake and be primus inter pares among horses as well as US presidents. But Ballydoyle ballyhoo should always be taken with a pinch of salt until a horse proves its merit – remember the recent career of the Guineas favourite in 2004, One Cool Cat, who proved to be one iffy horse. In such a complex puzzle it may pay to buy some insurance. Should the rains arrive in Newmarket, Godolphin’s Opera Cape is worthy of an each-way nibble. Asset is the horse to back if showers miss East Anglia and the ground is fast.
The Celtic challenge looks stronger in Sunday’s fillies classic, the Stan James 1,000 Guineas Stakes. Ballydoyle again runs
the race favourite, Rumplestiltskin, and she has fewer question marks hanging over her than colt George Washington. However, with the UK home team relying on suspect stayer Flashy Wings, it might be a better to back Aidan O’Brien’s “second string” Race for the Stars. She has the perfect breeding to be a champion over one mile.
3.15 (Saturday, 2,000 Guineas) – Sir Percy (win); Asset (each-way if ground fast side of good); Opera Cape (each-way if ground good to soft)
3:30 (Sunday, 1,000 Guineas) Race for the Stars (win)