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David Schwartz: Maybe or maybe not this May
May has a horrid reputation among UK investors. History teaches us that shares rise in May just over half of the time. Compared with more profitable months, such as January and April, May is weak. But its long-term record for traders is not so grim.
David Schwartz: For now, I’m left swinging in the wind
I enjoyed a massive stroke of good luck about two weeks ago. But I now face considerable uncertainty about how to optimise my good fortune. My trade was an absolute disaster. Prices fell sharply and I closed it out at a loss but the price trend suddenly reversed.
David Schwartz: Some tools of the trade aren’t up to the job
Fans of technical analysis can be quite passionate in their support of their tools. So apologies in advance if my comments ruin anyone’s weekend. In my view, some of the tools so treasured by technical analysts, or chartists, fail to work as billed. They do not consistently deliver profits to practitioners.
David Schwartz: Repeat when necessary
Bear markets differ from each other in terms of size, shape and speed of decline. But some fluctuations within an individual bear market are remarkably similar.
FT Money guide to charting and technical analysis terms
All the terminology used in our Trader articles
FT Money guide to charting and technical analysis terms
All the terminology used in our Trader articles
David Schwartz: ‘In-and-out’ window may remain open
Despite last Tuesday’s eye-popping 151-point advance on the FTSE-100, I believe we remain in a bear market. Wall Street’s sideways drift over the past two months has provided some welcome support to UK investors. The US trend is quite impressive, given the torrent of negative news.
David Schwartz April: a month that can still fool us
Long-running historical trends often provide me with profitable short-term trading ideas. But nothing lasts forever in the world of investing. I constantly search for newly emerging trends or signs that an existing trend has run out of steam.
David Schwartz: Bleak message from 8 per cent rule
Last weekend’s sudden collapse of Bear Stearns and subsequent 217-point Footsie decline on Monday shocked many investors, me included. In contrast, Tuesday’s bounce-back rally was no great surprise given that Wall Street strengthened after we closed on Monday
Try being hard-nosed about soft news
Corporate news releases are my most important investment tool. They include earnings reports and trading statements that have obvious market-moving potential. But I also value “softer” items.
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