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  1. July 4, 2014

    Dow 17,000 and the bull case for stocks

    Overexcitement about equities in late 1999 was captured perfectly by James Glassman and Kevin Hassett in the title of their...

  2. FT Alphaville

    June 5, 2014

    Smithers: Yellen and hindsight capital

    This is an abridged version of a post by Andrew Smithers for his FT blog, one that lays out why using next year’s PE ratio...

  1. June 5, 2014

    Janet Yellen and hindsight value

    “Janet Yellen, the Fed’s head, rather bizarrely used the prospective price/earnings ratio, one of the weakest of all...

  2. February 25, 2014

    Pace of gains in US house prices slows

    The US saw the fastest annual house price growth in eight years in 2013 but momentum in the country’s housing market is...

  3. February 14, 2014

    Forecast: The world in 2114

    • Martin Weitzman If there is one natural bridge spanning the chasm between today and a century from now, it is climate...

  4. February 14, 2014

    Brazil housing bubble fears as economy teeters

    do not overwrite slideshow Thalita de Jesus Moreira had just given birth to her fifth child when she moved to New Palestine,...

  5. Gavyn Davies

    January 17, 2014

    How to detect a market bubble

    The FT’s “year in a word” series suggested that the spirit of 2013 could be captured in words like “taper”, “sequestration”,...

  6. beyondbrics

    November 5, 2013

    EM stock: cheap or just riskier?

    Emerging market stock is cheap these days. According to cyclically adjusted price to earnings (Cape) valuations favoured by...

  7. October 27, 2013

    Pay-offs and perils of passive investing

    Research suggesting that UK pension funds are wasting more than £6bn a year by investing in actively managed equity, bond...

  8. October 20, 2013

    Combining opposites produces a clear plan for investing

    It is now a week since the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences announced that it would ask Eugene Fama and Robert Shiller to...

  9. Gavyn Davies

    October 20, 2013

    The Nobel Laureates on equity bubbles

    The award of the Nobel Prize last week to three academics who have specialized in the empirical modelling of asset prices...

  10. October 15, 2013

    The Nobel committee is muddled on the nature of economics

    The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences continues to astonish the public when awarding the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics....

  11. FT Alphaville

    October 15, 2013

    Wait what, the enormous unnoticed collapse in London property prices

    So, we may have been a little distracted by the boom in estate agents, dark inventory, and London houses earning more than...

  12. FT Alphaville

    October 14, 2013

    The Closer

    FURTHER FURTHER READING - The San Francisco exodus. - Why the Efficient Markets Hypothesis merited a Nobel. - What’s an...

  13. October 14, 2013

    Nobel efforts bring no guaranteed success

    The Nobel memorial prize in economics is no guarantee of investment success, as Myron Scholes and Bob Merton can attest....

  14. October 14, 2013

    Why the efficient markets hypothesis merited a Nobel

    Few Nobel-watchers will be surprised at the award of a Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics to Robert Shiller, the man who told...

  15. FT Long Short

    October 14, 2013

    Nobel contradiction: Fama v Shiller

    At first, the idea that the Nobel economics prize should be shared between Eugene Fama and Robert Shiller sounds absurd –...

  16. October 14, 2013

    Fama, Hansen and Shiller win Nobel Prize for economics

    The Nobel Prize for economics has been awarded to a trio of American academics for their work on what drives asset prices, a...

  17. beyondbrics

    September 6, 2013

    Brazil: the next housing bubble?

    It’s one of those questions guaranteed to get everyone from homeowners to government officials hot and bothered: is there a...

  18. FT Long Short

    September 3, 2013

    Cue q.

    This is a public service announcement on Tobin’s q. Following my On Monday column, there were several requests for charts....

  19. FT Long Short

    August 19, 2013

    CAPE Fear: Siegel Strikes Back

    We all know that reported earnings are manipulated. But are they manipulated any more than they used to be, and are they...

  20. FT Long Short

    August 15, 2013

    From CAPE to CAPE

    One of the biggest areas of controversy over CAPEs or cyclically adjusted price/earnings multiples (see this earlier post...

  21. FT Long Short

    August 13, 2013

    The CAPE of Less Hope

    Cyclically-adjusted price/earnings multiples (CAPEs), as made famous by Yale’s Professor Robert Shiller, are growing...

  22. FT Long Short

    July 3, 2013

    US housebuilders: double bubble?

    Americans have been wondering if the housing market is in a double bubble for a little while, since Professor Robert...

  23. May 17, 2013

    What earnings forecasts tell us about US prospects

    Wall Street is at all-time high and the S&P 500 and Dow Jones have for the first time topped 1,600 and 15,000 respectively....

  24. April 15, 2013

    Queen Nworisara-Quinn

    Queen Nworisara-Quinn is a PhD student in management studies at the University of Cambridge Judge Business School in the UK....

  25. FT Alphaville

    March 5, 2013

    The wealth (declining?) effect

    How much do we care about the Dow’s crossing into record territory? Enough to mention it in this post, but not so much that...

  26. January 28, 2013

    Consumer debt fears hit Canadian banks

    Moody’s has cut the credit ratings of six of Canada’s biggest banks because of worries over the country’s rising consumer...

  27. FT Long Short

    November 8, 2012

    Controlling inflation with gold vs economists

    Gold prices can be volatile The argument for a gold standard is simple: it stops the ravages of political interference with...

  28. October 12, 2012

    US equities aren’t as bleak as they appear

    Dark clouds appear to be gathering over Wall Street. The third-quarter corporate earnings season kicked off this week, and...

  29. FT Long Short

    October 2, 2012

    Finding cheap European shares

    Even after the extraordinary summer rally in European equities, strategists continue to punt European shares as cheap, and...

  30. FT Alphaville

    September 11, 2012

    The Closer

    ROUND-UP FT markets round-up: “The FTSE All-World equity index rose 0.5 per cent after an Asia-Pacific stock barometer shed...

  31. September 11, 2012

    Shiller and Barclays launch equity indices

    Barclays and Robert Shiller, the Yale economist, are to launch a series of US equity indices to identify undervalued sectors...

  32. July 8, 2012

    Unifying theories fail to bridge divide

    Confidence in the investment management industry has fallen amid a long slump in equities and continued market volatility....

  33. June 13, 2012

    Stocks may be the best of a bad bunch

    Winston Churchill called democracy “the worst form of government except all those other forms that have been tried from time...

  34. June 5, 2012

    Only market evangelists reconcile Jekyll with Hyde

    The American economist Robert Shiller successfully called the peak of the economy boom. Irrational Exuberance, published in...

  35. Money Supply

    May 9, 2012

    Would you buy shares in UK plc?

    In the current climate, there is scant need for nations to be reminded of the risks presented by spiralling borrowing costs....

  36. April 20, 2012

    The property predicament

    What would happen if, as so many people are hoping, home prices were to go up dramatically again as they did in the early...

  37. March 18, 2012

    A route to redemption for financiers

    Finance and the Good Society, by Robert J. Shiller, Princeton University Press, RRP$24.95 Robert Shiller worries about...

  38. February 14, 2012

    Free money rally

    Even as Athens burnt, the news that Greek politicians had legislated for more austerity for the country allowed the global...

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