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World economy 2005

The challenge for the world in 2006 is to take advantage of a welter of opportunities thrown up by globalisation and change, while escaping a similarly large number of risks through sound policy making. That will not be easy. - -

Content

Political threats likely to eclipse economic risk

There are many causes for concern over the global economy this year but experts are confident that the world can weather them. Foreign affairs are another matter.

Globalisation: Integration marches onward

The political and policy environment is benign – for now.

Deficits: Expecting to escape a disorderly correction

The outlook may be benign but there are many potential triggers for a global slowdown and a halting of foreigners’ willingness to finance US deficits.

New Fed chief keeps inflation focus

Ben Bernanke takes over from Alan Greenspan at a delicate time.

Europe: Prospects grow for return of optimism

Cautious consumers might be ready to play their part in a long-awaited recovery.

China: West’s nemesis has its own demons

In reality, the world’s most populous nation has played a canny game of listening to foreign critics.

Oil: Rocketing price is not shock it used to be

The global economy is more resilient to high energy costs – for now

Global trade: Outlook for agreements nears moment of truth

If the Doha round of talks fails, bilateral deals and regionalism will emerge as victors. And that will carry a cost.

Financial markets: Spread of derivatives reshapes markets

The markets start this year in good health, largely, after passing a number of stern tests.

Offshoring: Relentlessly jumping up the skills chain

Developed nations such as the US and the UK are being forced to look at their attractiveness.

Conflict between two sides blurs warnings

Technology: Boom to bust and buzz again

Avian flu: Falling short of the required measures

Middle East: Oil price dividend offsets risk of conflict

US foreign policy: Ambitious overseas aims prove costly

Poverty: Jump in pledges of aid highlights its limitations

Terror attacks: Safety less of a certainty

Business: Confidence is key to corporate prospects