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Mastering uncertainty

In an uncertain world, it is impossible to predict how change and other powerful forces will affect your business. So, how can companies plan for the future and how can they have confidence in their decision-making? Over the next four weeks, Mastering Uncertainty will explore these and many other questions. - -

Difficult decisions for an uncertain world

It is impossible for companies to predict or control how competition, macroeconomics, technology and other powerful external variables will interact to create new opportunities and threats. In this state of unforgiving uncertainty, managers must develop ways to anticipate and respond to novel situations

Europe’s transition to IFRS

Europe is in the middle of the most far-reaching accounting change process in its history. So, what will be the impact of these changes, and will they increase the volatility of financial reports?

An even-handed response to an uncertain context

Adaptability to a changing environment is not sufficent as a response to uncertainty, says Julian Birkinshaw. In addition, companies need to have alignment around their existing activities. It is only by this dual focus that they can achieve ambidexterity

Out with the old, in with the new

Pablo Martin de Holan argues that companies facing novel situations will only be successful if they can discard, or “forget”, knowledge and practices that belong in the past

Past experience points the way to the future

Eric K Clemons writes that it is only by looking for patterns and understanding historical precedents that managers have any hope of converting an uncertain situation into one that is merely risky

The ghost in the machine

Chaos in supply chains is more likely to be generated by the systems we use than by external events, says Richard Wilding

More than idle chatter

Conversation is the central mechanism for co-ordinating activity across the organisation. Donald Sull and Ben Bryant argue that, when discussions are properly managed, they give companies a better chance of handling uncertainty

Avoiding unrest in a volatile environment

Navigating political uncertainty poses a significant challenge for business. As Ethan Kapstein explains, there are two broad approaches that companies can take to help them steer a safe course

The price is not always right

Confident pricing can be an effective shield against uncertainty, writes Tony Cram. But getting it right demands a new process

When alarm bells ring

Uncertain situations can be a source of great anxiety. If they are to prevent poor outcomes, managers will need to respond creatively and avoid common traps, say Paul Dobson and Richard Donkin

The fruitless search for certainty

A cure for selection fever

Rewriting the rules

Change is closer than it seems

Red flags on the horizon

Growth beyond the core

Teams across borders

Connections and conversations provide the fuel for innovation

A focus on the exceptions that prove the rule

The value of different perspectives

Step into the unknown

The search for security

Turn on, tune in and sense the way ahead

The customer holds the key to great products

The tall order of taming change

Changing mental models in an uncontrollable world

Can we really “master” uncertainty?