Financial Times FT.com

Disquiet on the western front of the credit world

By John Dizard

Published: March 4 2008 02:00 | Last updated: March 4 2008 02:00

The credit world is aligning itself into political factions, divided over the right approach to untangling the present mess. On one side are the trader-fundamentalists, with one hand on the Bloomberg keyboard, the other hand on a dog-eared copy of Atlas Shrugged . They believe in the literal interpretation of scripture, which in this case means that an asset is only worth what the bid side says it is. As far as they are concerned, the only way to deal with the excesses of the credit markets is to take the write-offs and start over, having accepted the revealed truth of what bankruptcy sale buyers are willing to pay.

Opposed to them are the would-be managers of systemic risk. They believe that the aggressive application of the mark-to-market rule would result in another Great Depression, only bigger. Their Qum is Washington DC, where the differences between the Republicans and the Democrats are small relative to their agreement that a deep recession, let alone a depression, must be avoided at all costs. One of those costs could be years of stagnation and low growth. You could call them Keynesians, except that Keynes was strongly opposed to currency debasement. As far as this group is concerned, currency debasement to the point of depravity is a good starting point. (Strangely, they still publicly proclaim adherence to a "strong dollar policy", even at $1.50 to the euro. What would a "weak dollar policy" be?)

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