Financial Times FT.com

Limitations of computer models

By Gillian Tett and Anuj Gangahar

Published: August 14 2007 19:28 | Last updated: August 14 2007 19:28

In recent years, Goldman Sachs has become renowned as one of the savviest players on Wall Street. This week, however, the mighty US bank was forced into an embarrassing admission.

In a rare unplanned investor call, the bank revealed that a flagship global equity fund had lost over 30 per cent of its value in a week because of problems with its trading strategies created by computer models. In particular, the computers had failed to foresee recent market movements to such a degree that they labelled them a “25-standard deviation event” – something that only happens once every 100,000 years or more.

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