Financial Times FT.com

In a world of overconfidence, fear makes a welcome return

Published: August 15 2007 03:00 | Last updated: August 15 2007 03:00

"At particular times a great deal of stupid people have a great deal of stupid money . . . At intervals . . . the money of these people - the blind capital, as we call it, of the country - is particularly large and craving; it seeks for someone to devour it, and there is a 'plethora'; it finds someone, and there is 'speculation'; it is devoured, and there is 'panic'."Walter Bagehot.*

Panic follows mania as night follows day. The great 19th-century economist and journalist, Walter Bagehot, knew this better than anybody. Lombard Street, his masterpiece, is dedicated to the phenomenon. It is devoted, too, to how central banks should deal with its results.

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