Financial Times FT.com

Curve inversion nears

By Jennifer Hughes in New York, Paul J Davies in London and,David Turner in Tokyo

Published: December 23 2005 02:00 | Last updated: December 23 2005 02:00

The US Treasury yield curve compressed to its flattest in five years yesterday with the difference between two and 10-year yields at less than4 basis points and within a whisker of inversion.

An inverted yield curve is rare and is traditionally held to be a recession signal, although this time a number of economists, including Alan Greenspan, Federal Reserve chairman, believe it might be caused by abnormal factors that do not suggest a recession.

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