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Year in review 2007

The year in pictures

By Lionel Barber, Editor Financial Times

Published: December 22 2007 00:03 | Last updated: December 22 2007 00:03

In the fading days of summer, Britain witnessed the first bank run since Victorian times. Hundreds of people queued outside branches of Northern Rock to reclaim their savings, pulling out more than £2bn over a weekend. The government protested that the financial system was safe, the economy strong. But nobody was listening.


The queues that formed outside branches of Northern Rock in September were testament to a year in which economics trumped politics. Chuck Prince, then Citigroup chairman, said 'we are still dancing' in an FT interview in July. One month later global credit markets ground to a halt. Prince resigned in November

The failure of Northern Rock ended Gordon Brown’s brief honeymoon as prime minister. It struck a blow to London’s reputation as a “light-touch” financial centre rivalling New York. Mervyn King, governor of the Bank of England, saw his stock fall sharply, too.

Northern Rock’s demise also signalled a deep shift in market sentiment. After a decade of cheap money, the terms of credit had tightened dramatically. And, as Warren Buffett, the wise old investor from Omaha, remarked: “It’s only when the tide goes out that you discover who’s been swimming naked.”

Wall Street’s finest were among those first exposed. Stan O’Neal, the sharecropper’s son and CEO of Merrill Lynch, was forced to step down – albeit with a $150m severance package. Chuck Prince, Citigroup’s boss, departed on marginally less generous terms. Prince had earlier told investors that while the music was still playing, Citi was still dancing, one of the more memorable (and short-sighted) business sound bites of the year.

In 2007, the music finally stopped for Tony Blair and Jacques Chirac, two of Europe’s longest-serving leaders; and ended abruptly for three individuals with an enviable sense of stagecraft: Luciano Pavarotti, Norman Mailer and Marcel Marceau. It was a year of political transition in Britain and France, though the rupture with the past was more evident in France with Nicolas Sarkozy’s election. Brown’s decision to call off a snap election in autumn earned him a new nickname (“Bottler Brown”), to a resurgent Tory opposition’s delight.


Follow my leader: Nicolas Sarkozy, newly elected French president, waves his adieu to Jacques Chirac outside the Elysee in May. Tony Blair and Gordon Brown exchange smiles at the Labour party conference in Manchester in June, after Brown took over as prime minister. Pervez Musharraf inspects a guard of honour after relinquishing his military role and uniform in November to become civilian president of Pakistan


Overall, economics trumped politics in 2007. The credit squeeze looked increasingly like a seismic event on a par with the Asian financial crisis of 1997-98. The roots of the squeeze lay partly in the excess liquidity provided by central banks, which is why Alan Greenspan’s saintly reputation came under scrutiny, despite a neatly timed memoir of his 19 years at the Fed, entitled The Age of Turbulence. The deregulation of the financial markets also played a big role. New laws in the 1990s broke down Depression-era barriers between commercial lending and securities trading, and allowed financial institutions to lay off risk, while increasing exponentially their capacity to trade with their own capital.

Investment banks, notably Goldman Sachs, profited mightily from deregulation. Private equity firms also exploited benign credit conditions. The huge returns made by partners stoked the politics of envy on both sides of the Atlantic. Blackstone’s co-founder, Steve Schwarzman, threw the party of the year in Manhattan, ahead of his firm’s initial public offering. But when the era of cheap money ended, private equity no longer looked so smart. Banks, too, failed to grasp the extent of their liabilities, especially in the category known as subprime, or “trailer-park”, mortgages for risky borrowers.

The exposure to subprime loans extended from Miami to Saxony to Norway’s Arctic circle. Britain’s high-street banks were also hit hard. Estimates ranged from $300bn to $900bn of dodgy debt, parked in cleverly packaged debt instruments known as collateralised debt obligations (CDOs). Conventional wisdom was turned upside down: hitherto it had been assumed that spreading risk was better than concentrating it in a few financial institutions. Now the “poison” was so widespread that every bank was presumed to be contaminated, undermining confidence in the financial system.

The credit squeeze was, of course, another facet of globalisation. This year, we had many sober reminders of our mutual interdependence. Al Gore won a Nobel prize (in addition to his Oscar) for his campaign against global warming, a consolation of sorts for losing the cliffhanger US presidential election in 2000. Floods in Britain and Mexico as well as pollution in China (watch out for the burgeoning scandal of the Three Gorges Dam) provided further warnings of environmental catastrophe.


Against the elements: climate change rose further up the political agenda as extreme weather conditions shook all parts of the world, from Bangladesh to California. In Britain, summer flooding caused millions of pounds in damage. Tewkesbury Cathedral, Gloucestershire, became a virtual island in July after the Rivers Severn and Avon overflowed. Al Gore, former US vice-president, won the Nobel Peace Prize in October for his campaigning on climate change. In August, Greek firefighters confronted deadly blazes near the southern Peloponnese city of Andritsaina

Our joined-up world also proceeded apace with the growth of social networks on the internet. Web historians will look back on 2007 as the year of Facebook, the site invented by Mark Zuckerberg, a twentysomething former Harvard graduate. He sold a stake to Microsoft which valued the three-year-old business at an eye-popping $15bn. Rupert Murdoch’s MySpace came in second to Facebook, though the media tycoon pulled off a coup by snapping up Dow Jones, publisher of The Wall Street Journal, albeit at a high price.


Trial and error: Conrad Black, charged with fraud and obstruction of justice, arrives in July at Dirksen Federal courthouse, Chicago. He was sentenced to six and a half years in jail earlier this month. In the UK, police scrutinise HM Customs and Revenue offices, following the unaccounted loss of two computer disks containing the personal data of 25 million child-benefit claimants. The composite face of Hussain Osman and Jean Charles de Menezes was presented in October at the Central Criminal Court investigation into police conduct at the Stockwell Tube shooting in July 2005. Offices mistook de Menezes, a young Brazilian electrician, for Osman, a July 21 bomb plotter

Elsewhere, many parts of the world looked depressingly familiar. Rape and famine in Sudan. A brutal military crackdown in Burma. Ethnic violence in the West Bank, now extended to the ruling Fatah and the Islamist Hamas, rather than simply Israel. Emergency military rule in Pakistan. Ethnic violence in the Serb enclave of Kosovo, where the west went to war in 1999 to protect an Albanian majority now hellbent on independence. A resurgence of the Taliban in Afghanistan, where hard-pressed British forces engaged in the heaviest fighting since the Korean war.

In Iraq, a bleak picture looked marginally more encouraging by year end. George W. Bush’s “surge”, led by the charismatic commander David Petraeus, rocked back al-Qaeda insurgents. US casualties, rising at a fearsome rate earlier in the year, stabilised. The Americans will draw down forces next year, but a pull-out seems several years away. If internal security looks a little more hopeful, the political vacuum appears as large as ever, as the Shia, Sunni and Kurds remain mired in factional infighting. Another destabilising factor is neighbouring Iran, whose president Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad breathed fire and brimstone as he asserted his country’s right to join the nuclear club.

In 2007, the balance of power tilted further away from American hegemony. The decline of the dollar symbolised a new order in the making, in which resource-rich powers (Iran, Russia, Venezuela) championed illiberal democracy, often at the expense of the west. The ascent of resource-hungry China confirmed the trend. Yet the outlook for democracy is not uniformally bleak. Oil-rich enclaves in the Gulf, notably Abu Dhabi, displayed a more tolerant face of Islam, eschewing the radical fundamentalism of Osama bin Laden and his vision of a medieval caliphate.


Finishing lines: 22-year-old Lewis Hamilton after winning his first F1 race, the Canadian grand prix, in June. Although there were high hopes for Hamilton to take the world driver's championship at his first attempt, he eventually finished second overall. Mark Cueto, playing for England, touches down his disallowed try in the World Cup final against South Africa, in October. England had been written off before the tournament, and exceeded expectations by getting to the final. Steve McLaren, England's former football manager before his team's qualifying game with Croatia. The side lost 2-3, prompting his dismissal and another European Championship without England. In September, Jose Mourinho, Chelsea football coach, was fired by the club's owner Roman Abramovich, amid rumours of a personality clash

There were obvious winners and losers in 2007. Who can forget the forlorn face of Steve McClaren, umbrella in hand, watching the England football team lose (again) to Croatia at the newly refurbished Wembley stadium? Amy Winehouse, the sulphurous singer from north London, sank into drug-fuelled oblivion. Conrad Black, the fallen newspaper magnate, is facing six-and-a-half years in jail after being convicted of stealing money from shareholders.

The winners stand out, too. A plucky English rugby team came close to snatching victory at the World Cup. The Red Sox baseball squad triumphed (again) at the World Series. But my team pick of the year was the Terracotta Army, on show at the British Museum. These life-sized clay soldiers from ancient China took London by storm, a tribute to the First Emperor’s skill in combining mass production with exquisite art. A rare talent – and a noble goal for us all in 2008.


The departed: losses this year included Luciano Pavarotti, the flamboyant tenor who died on September 6 in Modena, Italy. Boris Yeltsin, former Russian president, died on April 23, in Moscow; Anita Roddick, founder of The Body Shop, died on September 10, in Chichester; Marcel Marceau, mime supreme, passed away on September 22, in Cahors, France; American novelist Norman Mailer, died on November 10 in New York City

Lionel Barber is editor of the FT

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