Notebook

October 5, 2011 1:32 am

Putin’s grand vision and echoes of ‘1984’

Union with Kazakhstan and Belarus is unlikely to fill an imperial destiny

The prospect of uniting with Kazakhstan and Belarus is unlikely to fill most Russians with a sense of grand imperial destiny. But for a small group of committed “Eurasianists”, the announcement by Vladimir Putin of a “Eurasian Union” between the three countries marks the epitome of their ambitions, the pay-off for a lifetime spent in the political wilderness.

“We have waited for 25 years for these words to be uttered in public by our leadership,” the leader of the Eurasianist Movement, Alexander Dugin, said in Moscow on Tuesday. For two decades he has worked to make dictatorship hip. Bearded and deep voiced, he veers effortlessly in conversation from the heroism of Muammer Gaddafi to the US conspiracy to destroy Russia.

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In his hardline vision, the motherland is threatened by a western conspiracy known as “Atlanticism” to which it must create a bastion of “Eurasian” power.

In Mr Dugin’s vision, a reborn Russia is a slightly retooled version of the Soviet Union with dystopian echoes of George Orwell’s 1984, where Eurasia was one of three continent-sized super states (Oceania and Eastasia being the other two) in perpetual war.

A former dissident in the 1980s who joined the nationalist opposition to Boris Yeltsin in the 1990s, Mr Dugin has since gone full circle. With the arrival of Mr Putin at the Kremlin in 2000, Mr Dugin made an effortless transformation from hardline opposition ideologue to pro-establishment public pundit.

The opposition politician Eduard Limonov, one of Mr Dugin’s early political collaborators, and now an implacable enemy, quipped that Mr Dugin is the “Cyril and Methodius of fascism”, named after the monks who introduced the Cyrillic alphabet to Russia in the ninth century.

Today, few, least of all Mr Dugin, try to hide the fact he has a close relationship to the Kremlin and has worked on many Kremlin-inspired political projects, such as the nationalist Rodina party and the Eurasian Youth Union.

On Tuesday, he even took some credit for Mr Putin’s article “Eurasia: the future which is being born today” published in the Izvestia newspaper. “We did help in the preparation, but, unfortunately, they softened our formulas,” he told a small conference at the University of Moscow, before introducing the next speaker – Iran’s ambassador to Russia. Indeed, the event was timed for the day the Russian prime minister’s article came out.

Distilled frenzy

Eurasianism was originally a movement of White Russian émigrés, fleeing the Bolshevik revolution, in the cities of interwar Europe. The heirs of Russia’s “silver age” and symbolist movement, they took to heart the poetry of Alexander Blok, who wrote of Russia’s Mongol ancestry: “Yes, we are Asians, with slanted and greedy eyes!”

They theorised that the territory of the former Russian empire formed a natural geopolitical and cultural unit that was destined to remain whole.

After the fall of the Soviet Union, the literature enjoyed a renaissance. Mr Putin, however, has seemingly taken a passing interest in the theory and has made occasional pronouncements on it, going so far as to create the Eurasian Economic Community in 2000 and now, it seems, the Eurasian Union.

One is reminded of a 1936 quote by John Maynard Keynes: “Madmen in authority, who hear voices in the air, are distilling their frenzy from some academic scribbler of a few years back.”

Financial chop

In the days of the Soviet Union, censorship came in many forms. Most chillingly, it was in the careful airbrushing of photos to remove the faces of political prisoners or other betrayers of the motherland.

It seems the old ways are making a comeback, measured by the speed with which Alexei Kudrin went from being hero to zero after the former finance minister challenged the president, Dmitry Medvedev.

Russia’s state television edited a September 26 speech in which the president fired Mr Kudrin. Neither Mr Kudrin’s face nor his response to Mr Medvedev’s suggestion that he resign (“I’ll have to check with the prime minister [Vladimir Putin]”) has been broadcast, though the footage has gone viral on YouTube.

Since then, Mr Kudrin has dropped from sight. But most experts give the man a decent chance of making a comeback, either as central bank governor or adviser to Mr Putin.

charles.clover@ft.com

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