When I first came to live in London about 25 years ago, Germany was widely considered a more advanced economy than the UK. In the mid-1990s these perceptions began to reverse. During the course of the next decade, I would expect to see yet another reversal – in favour of Germany.

No, I am not going to leap to a defence of the Rhineland model. I remain sceptical about Germany’s long-term economic performance. The country relies too heavily on manufacturing exports. It lacks a modern service economy and is committed to an antiquated financial sector.