COMMENT This is hyperfinance. In the space of five frenetic days, stock markets have plunged and recovered; the US Federal Reserve has cut interest rates to 3.5 per cent; so-called “monoline” insurers, revealed as a small but vital valve in the financial machinery, have wobbled; and one Jérôme Kerviel has lost €5bn for a venerable French bank.
If the US suffers a recession in 2008 or 2009 it will not be due to an industrial decline or an oil price shock. It will be a recession that began in the financial system. The response of the general public is confusion, tinged with horror, at how intangible finance can impinge on their daily lives. Even some bankers and traders must be struck by the chaos their business can unleash, and feel awe at just how powerful they have become.
